Q2 investment market commentary

This month, we bring you our quarterly investment market commentary in place of the June monthly market review. However, the table includes the usual month-on-month figures for comparison.
Published 8 July
3 mins

The end of June marks the end of the second quarter and the halfway point in the year. A good opportunity then to stop and digest what has been more than a hearty meal’s worth of news and activity during what can only be described as an atypical time in everyone’s lives, not just that of the economy.

And, once again, COVID-19 has been the main course, supplying daily news flow and driving both market sentiment and policy response. The continued rollout of the global vaccination programme has provided support to the argument for economic expansion and the unlocking of global trade, while concerns around inflation (not helped by a slightly muddled rhetoric from the Federal Reserve (Fed)) and the resurgence of the Delta variant have only served to pour some water onto heated expectations. But on the whole, it has been a good period for risk assets with global equity markets rising 2.1% on the month of June and closing the quarter 7.1% to the good. As has been our reading of events. The returns have been led by those markets best placed to benefit from an early lifting (corresponding to vaccination success), with the US up 8.8% on the quarter while Emerging Markets rose ‘only’ 3.8% over the same period.

While the case for value as an equity style remains intact for the year, and looking ahead, the quarter saw a swing back to growth-orientated stocks, up 10% to value’s 5%, with much of the differential seen during June. A stark reminder of the complexity of global markets currently.

Within fixed income markets, returns have remained mostly negative for the year albeit with some areas demonstrating a degree of resilience during the quarter. This was in part due to the mixed messaging from the Fed and a confused outlook for rates and inflation over the medium term. Both Treasuries and Gilts rallied by close to 2% on the quarter, but of particular note was the stronger performance of credit over the period, in particular high yield.

Turning briefly to ‘real assets’ and a reflection of the inflation story that has dominated market discussion of late, property markets appeared to rally well over the quarter with the global real estate investment trust index up more than 12% over the period. But it was commodities on the whole that caught the eye, with Brent crude up more than 24% during the quarter and energy up 22%. Industrial metals were up almost 10% on the quarter, matching the gains seen in the first quarter of the year. If sustained, these gains (costs) will feed through to consumer pricing in due course.

FTSE 1007022.617037.47
DJ Ind. Average34529.4534502.51
S&P Composite4204.114297.5
Nasdaq 10013686.5114554.8
£ Base Rate0.10.1
Brent Crude69.3274.62

This month’s values quoted as at 30/06/2021. The above values are sourced from Bloomberg and are quoted in the relevant currency.

Clients of Nedbank Private Wealth can get in touch with their private bankers directly to understand how their portfolios are responding to market events or call +44 (0)1624 645000 and speak to our client services team.


If you would like to find out more about how we help manage clients’ investments, please also contact us on the number above. Or you can get in touch using the links to the forms towards the end of this page.

Investments can go down, as well as up, to the extent that you might get back less than the total you originally invested. Exchange rates also impact the value of your investments. Past performance is no guide to future returns. Any individual investment or security mentioned here may not be suitable, and is included for information only and is not a recommendation. You should always seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

about the author

Tom Caddick

Tom Caddick

Tom joined Nedbank Private Wealth as its chief investment officer in March 2021. Prior to joining, Tom was at Santander Asset Management in London for nine years, where he was, most recently, chief investment officer for the UK business and previously global head of the multi asset division. He has over 20 years’ investment experience, including several years as head of multi manager and fund selection at LV Asset Management.


Tom’s responsibilities include heading the London-based investment team, and chairing both the International Strategy Committee and the International Investment Committee. Tom is also part of the international investment team for Nedgroup Investments, a sister company of Nedbank Private Wealth.

Access more of our insights


The week in review

10 May

   |   7¾ mins

The week of 2 May saw continued volatility in markets. Global stocks and bonds retreated as US and UK central banks raised their base rates again in an attempt to curb inflation pressures.


April's investment market commentary

9 May

   |   2 mins

April proved to be a difficult month for markets as concerns over global growth surfaced. While underlying economic fundamentals remained broadly healthy, the impact of high inflation and rising interest rates are without doubt headwinds for confidence, consumer spending, and therefore growth going forward.


The week in review

26 Apr

   |   3½ mins

Global economic prospects have worsened according to the International Monetary Fund, which downgraded its global growth forecasts for 2022 and 2023 as a result of the ongoing Ukraine crisis and slowing growth in China.


What could a new world order mean for investors?

22 Apr

   |   9 mins

While the G7 nations have traditionally led global economic growth, there have lately been efforts by the largest developing nations – particularly China and Russia – to seek to overturn that for a ‘new world order’. James Robertson sets out what this might mean for investors.

Get in touch

If you are interested in becoming a client, please complete the form via the ‘become a client’ button below. Alternatively, if you are already a client, or if you have a question about how we help clients in particular circumstances, please use the ‘contact us’ button.

We will get back to you as soon as we can during office hours, which are Monday to Friday, 8am to 8pm (UK time), except for UK public holidays.

Become a Client

Thank you for your interest in Nedbank Private Wealth. Please call us on +44 (0)1624 645000 or complete the requested information and one of our team will get back to you soon. We look forward to speaking with you.  Please note: If you are an EU resident, we are unfortunately unable to offer our services to you at present.

* Required fields

Contact Us

Please call us today on +44 (0)1624 645000. Our office hours are weekdays from 8am to 8pm (UK time), except for UK public holidays.


Or please complete and submit the below form and one of the team will get back to you as requested.

* Required fields

Search suggestions